FECN14 CWIS 181800
THIRTY DAY ICE OUTLOOK FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ARCTIC FOR MID-JULY TO MID-AUGUST ISSUED BY THE NORTH AMERICAN ICE SERVICE ON 18 JULY 2014.
THE NEXT 30 DAY OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED ON 1 AUGUST 2014.
Summary for July 1 to 16.
Average air temperatures were above normal values over most locations except near normal from Queen Maud Gulf to Peel Sound and along the Alaskan Coast west of Barter Island. Ice melt was near normal over most locations except 2 to 3 weeks earlier than normal over the eastern section of the Beaufort Sea and in Amundsen Gulf.
Weather forecast for July 18 to August 15.
Average air temperatures will be near normal values over most locations except above normal over the Central Arctic.
Tuktoyaktuk Peninsula.
July 18 to 31. Open water.
August 1 to 15. Ice free.
Mackenzie Bay to Cape Bathurst.
July 18 to 31. Open water.
August 1 to 15. Ice free.
Beaufort Sea south of 75°N.
July 18 to 31.
Open drift to close pack first-year ice along the western shore of Banks Island becoming very open to open drift ice during the fourth week. Open water within 60 miles west of Banks Island, 100 miles north of Tuktoyaktuk Peninsula and 60 miles north of Barter Island. Within 120 miles of the Alaskan Coast west of Barter Island open drift to close pack first-year ice with a trace of old ice becoming very open to open drift ice during the fourth week. North of 72°N close to very close pack old ice.
August 1 to 15.
Ice melting completely along the western shore of Banks Island in early August. Open water within 60 miles west of Banks Island, 100 miles north of Tuktoyaktuk Peninsula and 60 miles north of Barter Island. Within 120 miles of the Alaskan Coast west of Barter Island very open to open drift first-year ice with a trace of old ice melting completely during the second week. North of 72°N close to very close pack old ice becoming open drift to close pack ice west of 140°W during the second week.
Arctic Ocean north of 75°N.
July 18 to August 15.
Close to very close pack old ice.
Cape Lisburne to Point Barrow.
July 18 to 31.
South of Wainwright open water. North of Wainwright open drift to close pack first- year ice with 1 tenth of old ice.
August 1 to 15.
South of Wainwright open water. North of Wainwright very open to open drift first- year ice with 1 tenth of old ice melting completely during the second week.
Amundsen Gulf.
July 18 to 31.
Very open to open drift first-year ice over the extreme eastern section and near Prince of Wales Strait becoming very open drift ice during the fourth week. Elsewhere open water.
August 1 to 15.
Ice along the extreme eastern section and near Prince of Wales Strait melting completely during the first week then open water. Elsewhere ice free.
Coronation Gulf.
July 18 to 31.
Over the western section very open to open drift first-year ice becoming very open drift ice during the fourth week. Over the eastern section close to very close pack first-year ice becoming open drift to close pack ice during the fourth week.
August 1 to 15.
Ice melting completely during the first week then open water.
Queen Maud Gulf.
July 18 to 31.
Over the extreme eastern section consolidated first-year ice fracturing during the fourth week then close to very close pack ice. Elsewhere close to very close pack first-year ice becoming open drift to close pack ice during the fourth week.
August 1 to 15.
Over the western section very open to open drift first-year ice becoming very open drift ice during the second week. Over the eastern section open drift to close pack first-year ice becoming very open to open drift ice during the second week.
Victoria Strait.
July 18 to 31.
Close to very close pack first-year ice with a trace of old ice.
August 1 to 15.
Close to very close pack first-year ice with a trace of old ice becoming open drift to close pack ice during the second week.
Larsen Sound.
July 18 to August 15.
Close to very close pack first-year ice with up to 2 tenths of old ice
Peel Sound.
July 18 to 31.
Consolidated first-year ice with up to 2 tenths of old ice fracturing during the fourth week.
August 1 to 15.
Close to very close pack first-year ice with up to 2 tenths of old ice. Ice over the northern section becoming open drift to close pack ice during the second week.
M’Clintock Channel.
July 18 to 31.
Consolidated first-year ice with a trace of old ice except for an area of consolidated old and first year ice over the central section. Ice fracturing during the fourth week.
August 1 to 15.
Close to very close pack old and first-year ice.
Viscount Melville Sound.
July 18 to 31.
Consolidated first-year ice with up to 2 tenths of old ice over the western section. Consolidated old and first-year ice over the eastern section. Ice fracturing during the fourth week.
August 1 to 15.
Close to very close pack first-year ice with up to 2 tenths of old ice over the western section. Close to very close pack old and first-year ice over the eastern section.
M’Clure Strait.
July 18 to 31.
Very open drift old ice over the western third. Over the central section close to very close pack first-year ice with up to 4 tenths of old ice. Over the eastern third consolidated first-year ice with up to 4 tenths of old ice fracturing during the fourth week.
August 1 to 15.
Very open to open drift old ice over the western third. Elsewhere close to very close pack first-year ice with up to 4 tenths of old ice becoming open drift to close pack ice during the second week.